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Colorado Energy Future

Powering Colorado's
Next Economy

How nuclear energy and data centers help Colorado businesses, and Coloradans, win. The states that solve power will attract the next generation of employers. The states that don't will watch them leave.

0 GW
Projected US power shortfall by 2033
0+
Direct jobs at risk across Colorado coal communities
0
Potential jobs from 5 GW nuclear + data center buildout
$0B
Data center projects blocked in Q1 2026 alone
0x
China added 10x more power capacity than the US in 2025
$0B
Cumulative tax revenue potential over 20 years

America Is Running Out of Electricity

After a decade of flat demand, U.S. electricity consumption is surging. Data centers, EVs, reshoring, and building electrification are colliding with a grid that can't grow fast enough. The result is a looming national emergency.

175 GW
Projected shortfall by 2033
Schneider Electric projects peak supply will fall short of demand by 175 GW within seven years. NERC warns summer peak demand could surge by 224 GW.
🔌
82 GW
Net firm capacity deficit
104 GW of reliable, dispatchable generation is set for retirement by 2030, only 22 GW of new firm capacity is planned to replace it.
💻
66 GW
Data center demand by 2027
Goldman Sachs projects US data center power demand will double from 31 GW to 66 GW by 2027. Data centers will consume 20% of all US electricity by 2035.
🚗
78.5M
EVs on US roads by 2035
EV charging could add 651-721 TWh of demand by 2035, an 18% increase over total current generation. Peak demand could rise 25-50%.
100x
Blackout increase by 2030
DOE warns blackouts could increase 100-fold by 2030 if reliable power sources keep shuttering. Outages already hit 10+ hours per customer in 2024.
128 wk
Transformer lead times
Large power transformers now take 2.5-4 years to deliver. Domestic manufacturers meet only 20% of demand. Roughly 40 million distribution transformers are past service life.
The demand acceleration

From 2010 to 2020, US electricity demand grew just 0.2% per year, essentially flat. Projected growth for 2025-2035 is 2.5% per year, a 12x acceleration. Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, EPRI, and NERC all agree: we are entering the largest surge in electricity demand since post-WWII industrialization. The grid is not ready.

US Electricity Demand Growth Drivers (2025-2035)

Estimated annual demand growth contribution by sector

Building Electrification
+1.0%/yr
+1.0%/yr
Data Centers & AI
+0.5%/yr
+0.5%/yr
Industrial Reshoring
+0.3%/yr
+0.3%/yr
Electric Vehicles
+0.2%/yr
+0.2%/yr
Crypto Mining
+0.15%/yr
+0.15%/yr
Total Growth
+2.5%/yr (vs 0.2% historical)
+2.5%/yr

China Adds 10x More Power Than the US

In 2025, China added 540 GW of new power capacity. The US added 53 GW, a record for America, but less than one-tenth of China's buildout. This isn't just an energy gap. It's a strategic one.

🇨🇳
China
Total installed capacity 3,890 GW
Capacity added (2025) ~540 GW
Nuclear reactors under construction 33
Can build simultaneously 50 reactors
2025 energy investment ~$500B
SMR status Operating 2026
Nuclear target by 2035 200 GW
Grid investment (2026-2030) $580B
🇺🇸
United States
Total installed capacity 1,281 GW
Capacity added (2025) 53 GW
Nuclear reactors under construction 0
Last reactor completed Vogtle 4, 2024
Interconnection queue 2,061 GW backlog
SMR status First broke ground 2026
Firm capacity retiring by 2030 104 GW
Transformer lead time 2.5-4 years
The AI energy race

China's data center power demand is projected to reach 60 GW by 2030. All new facilities in its 8 national computing hubs must source 80%+ from renewables. China will have a commercial, operating small modular reactor before the US has broken ground on one. Al Jazeera calls China's abundant cheap energy its "secret weapon" in the AI race. Every year of American delay widens the gap.

The Human Cost of the Coal Transition

Colorado's clean energy mandates are closing coal plants and mines across the state. At least 11 communities across 9 counties are directly impacted, losing not just jobs but tax base, school funding, and economic identity.

Craig / Moffat County
Critical
Craig Station (1,285 MW) + Colowyo Mine + Trapper Mine • Tri-State G&T
437+
Total jobs lost (plant + mines)
43%
Of county property taxes at risk
$321M
Regional GDP contribution
61%
Community support for nuclear
Timeline Unit 1 closed 2025/26 (DOE-ordered extension). Units 2-3 scheduled by 2028, but Xcel has proposed running all coal through 2030 due to supply shortfalls. The strongest path: delay Craig's closure until a replacement nuclear plant is operational, keeping the workforce, tax base, and grid capacity intact through the transition.
Pueblo County
Critical
Comanche Generating Station (1,410 MW total, 3 units) • Xcel Energy
411
Total jobs (direct + indirect + induced)
$31M/yr
Annual property taxes (10.5% of county)
$845M
Cumulative lost taxes (2031 vs 2070)
PIESAC
Advisory committee recommends nuclear
Timeline Unit 1 retired 2022. Unit 2 extended into 2026+. Unit 3 closure accelerated to 2031 (from 2070). Comanche 3 offline since Aug 2025 due to mechanical failures. Pueblo's advisory committee declared nuclear "the clear winner" for replacement.
Hayden / Routt County
High Impact
Hayden Station (233 MW) + Twentymile Mine • Xcel Energy + Peabody
~294
Plant (61) + mine (233) jobs
44%
West Routt Fire tax revenue at risk
$228M
Annual labor income (3-county coal)
$27M
PUC-approved settlement (10 years)
Timeline Hayden units closing 2027-2028 (Xcel proposing extension to 2030). Twentymile Mine closure follows. Hayden School District loses 38% of tax revenue. Town building 58-acre business park near airport.
Nucla / Naturita (West Montrose)
Already Hit
Nucla Station (100 MW) + New Horizon Mine • Closed 2019
83
Jobs lost (55 plant + 28 mine)
66%
Of Nucla's tax base eliminated
20%
Of area employment eliminated
~1,200
Total population of both towns
Case Study Colorado's first major coal closure (2019). Serves as a cautionary tale, transition has been slow and uneven. Community hasn't faded but recovery is fragile. $9.6M in Coal Transition Community Grants allocated.
Colorado Springs
In Transition
Martin Drake (Demolished) + Ray Nixon (207 MW) • CS Utilities
50-80
Nixon workers (Drake retained all 80)
DOE Study
Year-long nuclear feasibility study active
2032
Nixon closure (extended from 2029)
490K
City population (large workforce base)
Transition Drake demolished 2024. Nixon extended to 2032 via SB 26-182 (utility seeks 2035). CS Utilities board unanimously endorsed nuclear exploration. DOE-funded feasibility study with Idaho National Lab underway.
Delta / Gunnison / North Fork Valley
Ongoing
West Elk Mine + Former Elk Creek & Bowie Mines • Core Natural Resources
800+
Mine jobs lost (2014-2016)
300
Current West Elk Mine workers
12%
Delta County tax revenue lost
$29M
Annual pay/benefits at West Elk
Status Two of three North Fork Valley mines closed 2014-2016. West Elk (Colorado's #1 coal producer, 4.6M tons/yr) has 10-12 years of reserves. Average miner earned $100K+, more than double county median income. 80+ former miners retrained in fiber-optic splicing.
Additional communities impacted

Morgan County (Brush/Fort Morgan): Pawnee Station converting from coal to gas (2025-26), preserving most jobs. Tier One Coal Transition Community. Larimer County: Rawhide Unit 1 closing by 2030, but all 100 workers being transitioned to other roles. Rio Blanco County (Meeker): 46 Colowyo Mine employees from Meeker area. Across all communities, the coal industry supports 2,900 regional jobs paying $228 million in labor income across northwest Colorado alone.

The Human Cost Is Not Abstract. It Is Measured in Lives.

When a community loses its economic anchor without an equivalent replacement, the consequences follow a predictable and devastating pattern. This is not speculation, it is documented across every coal community that has been through it.

53%
Higher "deaths of despair"
A 2026 Bangor University study found former coal mining communities have 53% higher rates of deaths from drug overdoses, suicide, and alcoholic liver disease compared to non-mining areas. The association was strongest for alcohol and drug poisoning.
💔
32-56%
Increase in domestic violence
Oxford's Review of Economic Studies found domestic violence increases 32% after men lose their jobs and 56% after women lose theirs, sustained for at least four years after layoff. Financial stress doesn't stay at the office, it comes home.
💊
5x
Increase in overdose deaths
Counties that became more economically distressed experienced a five-fold increase in age-adjusted overdose deaths. Rural Appalachian opioid death rates reached 62 per 100,000 in 2021, nearly double the urban rate. Logan County, WV (a top coal producer) led the state in opioid mortality.
😢
50%
Depression rate in long-term unemployed
Rates of diagnosed depression reach 50% among those unemployed 12+ months. Rural suicide rates are 49% higher than urban. The coal fields of Appalachia have life expectancy 15 years shorter than wealthier U.S. communities.
🏡
60%
Population loss, McDowell County, WV
Once the world's largest coal producer with 100,000+ residents, McDowell County has lost 60% of its population. Poverty rate: 36%. Drug deaths at 4x the state average. 44% of income from government transfers. Gary, Indiana lost 61% of its population and has 6,500 abandoned buildings.
🏫
40%
Main street vacancy, Naturita, CO
When Nucla Station closed in 2019 (just 170 jobs), Naturita's main street hit 40% vacancy. School and fire districts faced 56% revenue cuts. Two-thirds of Nucla's tax base was eliminated. Residents say: "We've already transitioned, but we haven't recovered."
The multiplier of loss

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve found a job loss multiplier of 2.0 for coal closures, every coal job lost eliminates an additional job in the local economy. West Virginia University found the multiplier is as high as 3.7. In affected Appalachian counties, closures produced unemployment increases of 0.9 points, payroll job reductions of 4%, wage decreases of 8%, and GDP declines of 15%, effects that persisted through at least 2021.

Craig's coal workers earn $100,000/year in a county where the average wage is $40,000. Those aren't just jobs. They are the mortgages that keep families in their homes, the spending that keeps Main Street open, and the tax base that funds the schools and fire department. When they go, everything goes.

This is why nuclear matters, and why the timeline matters

Nuclear is the only replacement technology that matches coal's community-sustaining economic profile: comparable wages (30-50% higher, in fact), comparable job counts, comparable tax revenue, and operational lifespans of 60-80 years. Solar and wind create jobs, but not at the wage level, density, or permanence that holds a town together. The question isn't whether nuclear is the right answer, the PIESAC committee already settled that. The question is whether we close the coal plant before or after the replacement is ready. Every month of gap is a month of human cost that compounds.

Five Communities That Could Host Nuclear

Colorado's coal communities already have what nuclear developers need most: transmission infrastructure, land, water access, and a skilled energy workforce. The 2025 law adding nuclear to Colorado's clean energy definition was step one. Now comes execution.

Community / Site Facility Transmission Water Workforce Community Overall Rank
Pueblo (Comanche) 1,410 MW coal site, Xcel-owned
Very High
1
Craig (Craig Station) 1,285 MW coal site, Tri-State
High
2
Colorado Springs (Nixon) 207 MW coal site, municipal utility
Mod-High
3
Hayden (Hayden Station) 233 MW coal site, Xcel
Moderate
4
Brush / Fort Morgan (Pawnee) 505 MW, converting to gas
Low-Mod
5

Why Pueblo and Craig Lead

Pueblo: "The Clear Winner"

The Pueblo Innovative Energy Solutions Advisory Committee (PIESAC) studied replacement options and declared advanced nuclear "the clear winner" for replacing Comanche. The site has 1,410 MW of existing transmission, Arkansas River water rights that Xcel committed to Pueblo County, and a population of 114,000 providing a deep workforce. Xcel owns the site outright, streamlining development. The committee estimated a nuclear plant would generate $95 million annually in taxes and create 200-300 permanent jobs.

Craig: Ready Now, Keep the Coal Plant Running Until Nuclear Arrives

Craig can tell a nuclear developer what very few communities in America can: we have the site, the grid connection, and the trained people, ready now. A 2024 NCEI survey found 61% of NW Colorado residents support nuclear. The 1,285 MW transmission capacity is already built. The Yampa River provides ample cooling water. Moffat County secured water rights in its Tri-State settlement. And here's the key: rather than closing Craig Station and leaving the community in limbo for a decade, delay the coal plant's retirement until the nuclear replacement is operational. DOE has already ordered Unit 1 to stay open; Xcel proposed running all coal through 2030. Make this intentional policy, tie the retirement date to the nuclear commissioning date. Workers transfer directly, the tax base stays intact, and the grid keeps its capacity.

Nuclear Jobs vs. Coal Jobs

Nuclear plants pay more, last longer, and create deeper economic roots

Nuclear Plant Operator
$69,500 - $98,600/yr
$98.6K
Coal Plant Operator
$46,500 - $85,400/yr
$85.4K
Nuclear Avg (all roles)
$100,000 - $120,000/yr
$120K
Coal Avg (all roles)
$70,000 - $90,000/yr
$90K
Plant Lifespan (Nuclear)
60-80 years (multi-generational)
80 yrs
Plant Lifespan (Coal)
30-50 years
50 yrs

$130 Billion in Projects Are Being Blocked

In the first four months of 2026 alone, 75+ data center projects worth $130 billion were successfully blocked nationwide. The demand is real and growing, but it has nowhere to go. Colorado can be the place it goes, or watch Wyoming and Utah take it.

📚
533+
Local moratoriums across 42 states
Community opposition has exploded. 833 active grassroots groups. 70+ local governments with outright bans. 300+ statehouse bills in just the first 6 weeks of 2026.
🚫
~50%
Of planned 2026 US projects delayed
Power constraints, community opposition, and supply chain bottlenecks have delayed or cancelled roughly half of all US data centers planned for 2026 delivery.
🏡
0.3%
Northern Virginia vacancy rate
The world's largest data center market is essentially sold out. North America average is 1.4%. Four out of five facilities under construction are pre-leased.
💰
$725B
Big Tech 2026 CapEx (planned)
Amazon ($200B), Microsoft ($190B), Google ($175-185B), Meta ($115-135B). This capital is looking for a home. Every major hyperscaler has signed nuclear PPAs.
Colorado's competitive window is closing

Xcel Energy has 5.8 GW of pending data center power applications in Colorado. Data centers are projected to drive 62% of Colorado's energy growth and 72% of peak demand growth. Yet 5 Colorado jurisdictions (Denver, Jefferson County, Boulder County, Larimer County, Longmont) have enacted data center moratoriums in 2026. Meanwhile, Wyoming approved a 2.7 GW data center campus and Meta chose Cheyenne for its mega data center "Project Cosmo." Colorado offers zero data center tax incentives while 37 states do.

The Nuclear + Data Center Model Is Already Proven

9.8+ GW of nuclear capacity has been committed to data centers across 13 announced projects

Amazon / Talen
1,920 MW (Susquehanna, PA)
1,920 MW
Google / Elementl
1,800 MW (New Build)
1,800 MW
Constellation / TBD
1,200 MW (Existing Fleet)
1,200 MW
Meta / Constellation
1,121 MW (Clinton, IL)
1,121 MW
Microsoft / Constellation
835 MW (Three Mile Island)
835 MW
Google / NextEra
615 MW (Duane Arnold, IA)
615 MW
Google / Kairos
500 MW (SMRs by 2035)
500 MW

What Nuclear + Data Centers Mean for Colorado

Done right, this isn't a giveaway to industry. It's how Colorado keeps its employers, protects its ratepayers, saves its coal towns, and claims a durable identity as the national leader in energy, data, and AI.

Conservative Scenario
2 GW Nuclear + Data Center Buildout
Total capital investment $26-38B
GDP contribution to Colorado $16-24B
Construction jobs (nuclear + DC) 23,000-32,000
Permanent nuclear plant jobs 1,000-1,600
Permanent data center jobs 860-1,700
Total permanent jobs (with multiplier) 9,860-18,300
Annual state/local tax revenue $380-600M/yr
20-year cumulative tax revenue $7.6-12B
Aggressive Scenario
5 GW Nuclear + Data Center Buildout
Total capital investment $65-95B
GDP contribution to Colorado $40-60B
Construction jobs (nuclear + DC) 55,000-80,000
Permanent nuclear plant jobs 2,500-4,000
Permanent data center jobs 2,150-4,300
Total permanent jobs (with multiplier) 24,650-45,800
Annual state/local tax revenue $950M-1.5B/yr
20-year cumulative tax revenue $19-30B
The job replacement math

Colorado has approximately 30,000 fossil fuel jobs (coal, oil, natural gas combined), a number declining at 4.5% per year. A 5 GW nuclear + data center buildout would create 24,650-45,800 permanent jobs (direct + indirect + induced), more than replacing every fossil fuel job at risk, in a growth industry paying higher wages, with 60-80 year plant lifespans. Clean energy employment in Colorado already stands at 64,000, double the fossil fuel workforce.

The Proof: Three Mile Island + Microsoft

835 MW
Crane Clean Energy Center capacity
Constellation is restarting the TMI Unit 1 reactor under a 20-year PPA with Microsoft. $1.6B investment, $1B DOE loan. Targeting H2 2027, accelerated from 2028.
📈
$16B
Projected GDP contribution to PA
The project is expected to generate $3B+ in state and federal taxes, create 3,400 direct and indirect jobs, and support 650+ permanent positions at the plant.
🎯
$900M
Loudoun County, VA annual DC tax revenue
Data centers generate 38% of Loudoun County's General Fund. Homeowners save ~$5,800/year in property taxes thanks to the data center tax base.

Colorado's Nuclear Timeline

The legislative framework is taking shape. HB25-1040 made nuclear clean energy. HB26-1337 launches site identification. The question is whether Colorado moves fast enough to capture the opportunity, or lets it cross the border to Wyoming.

March 2025
Nuclear declared clean energy
Governor Polis signs HB25-1040 with overwhelming bipartisan support (43-18 House, 29-5 Senate). Nuclear is now eligible for clean energy financing and counts toward carbon-reduction mandates.
April 2026
TerraPower breaks ground in Wyoming
America's first utility-scale advanced nuclear plant begins construction in Kemmerer, WY, 90 miles from the Colorado border. 345 MW Natrium reactor, replacing a retired coal plant. 1,600 construction jobs.
August 2027
Xcel Energy community solicitation deadline
HB26-1337 requires Xcel to solicit community interest and identify potential nuclear sites by August 1, 2027. The Colorado Energy Office must recommend cost-recovery factors to PUC by December 2027.
2025-2028
Scheduled coal closures, or intentional delay
Craig Station units scheduled by 2028; Hayden Station 2027-2028. But Xcel has already proposed running coal through 2030 due to supply shortfalls. The proposal: make this intentional. Delay coal retirement at sites selected for nuclear replacement until the new plant is operational, keeping workers, tax base, and grid capacity intact through construction.
2028-2032
Site characterization & NRC permitting
Feasibility studies, environmental review, NRC site permit and construction permit applications. The ADVANCE Act streamlines permitting for coal-to-nuclear brownfield conversions.
2031
Wyoming Natrium plant online
TerraPower's Kemmerer plant targets February 2031 for first power. If Colorado has not begun construction by this point, it will be years behind its neighbor.
2035-2040
Target: Construction begins
HB26-1337 establishes state policy to identify at least one nuclear project site by 2035 and begin construction by 2040. Aggressive effort at Pueblo could achieve first power in the mid-to-late 2030s.
2038-2042
First Colorado nuclear power
Optimistic to realistic range for first electrons from Colorado's nuclear plant. The facility would operate for 60-80 years, potentially until 2100-2120, providing multi-generational economic stability.

What Could Go Wrong, and How to Manage It

A legislator's first question is "what does this cost us?" Pretending there are no risks would be dishonest. Here are the real ones, and the real solutions.

01
Nuclear is expensive and slow to build
Nuclear megaprojects have historically run ~117% over budget. NuScale's SMR project was cancelled in 2023 after costs ballooned toward $9B+. The full path from planning to power is typically 10-15 years.
How to manage it Prioritize fastest, lowest-risk paths: proven reactor designs over first-of-a-kind, aggressive use of federal cost-share (DOE $5.25B in FY2026 loans, $750M specifically for SMRs). Structure any state incentive so ratepayers are protected if a project slips. The Three Mile Island and Kemmerer models, not speculative designs, should guide Colorado.
02
The timeline gap between coal closure and nuclear startup
Craig's units are scheduled to close by 2028. Even a fast-tracked nuclear plant won't produce power until the mid-2030s. That's a gap of a decade or more, unless we rethink the closure timeline itself.
How to manage it The strongest option: delay the closure of Craig Station until the replacement nuclear plant is ready to come online, with an intentional transition period so workers move directly from one plant to the next. This is already happening ad-hoc, DOE forced Unit 1 open into 2026, Xcel proposed running all coal through 2030 due to supply shortfalls, and Colorado Springs extended Nixon to 2032. The difference is making it deliberate policy rather than crisis management. Tie coal retirement dates to nuclear commissioning milestones. Where delay isn't possible, pair near-term Just Transition support with nuclear as the permanent anchor.
03
Data centers can raise electricity bills
PJM's capacity auction jumped nearly 9x in one cycle. National electricity rates are up ~30% since 2020. The evidence is mixed but "not yet" is not "never."
How to manage it Require data centers to bring, build, or buy their own power through a separate rate class. Oregon, Georgia, and Maryland have adopted versions. Colocating data centers with dedicated new nuclear (the TMI model) is the cleanest approach: the data center finances new generation instead of competing with households for existing supply.
04
Water and waste are real, not zero
Closed-loop cooling reduces but doesn't eliminate water use. Nuclear produces spent fuel requiring long-term secured storage. These were the primary objections raised against Colorado's nuclear law.
How to manage it Set clear siting and water standards upfront. Advanced designs (Natrium, BWRX-300) use significantly less water. Some SMRs use air cooling entirely. Treat waste storage as a solvable engineering question rather than waving it away, the US Navy has managed reactor waste safely for 70 years.
05
Demand could not fully materialize
If AI or cloud growth slows, generation built on speculation can leave ratepayers holding stranded costs. The tech industry's investment pace could slow.
How to manage it Tie approvals to firm, long-term customer contracts and financial collateral before a shovel goes in the ground. The existing model, 20-25 year PPAs between hyperscalers and nuclear operators, already provides this protection. No contract, no construction.

Four Actions That Change Colorado's Trajectory

Companies go where the power and the capacity are. We can be that place.

  1. Streamline Permitting for Clean Baseload Generation
    Time-limit permitting for clean baseload generation and for the industrial users that anchor it. Air-quality permits in Colorado averaged over two years to issue last fiscal year. Projects can't survive a two-year queue. Set 12-month hard deadlines for state permitting decisions on qualifying projects.
  2. Create Targeted Nuclear Incentives with Ratepayer Protection
    Pair state incentives with federal cost-share (DOE loan guarantees, IRA production/investment tax credits, ADVANCE Act streamlining). Structure every incentive so taxpayers and ratepayers are protected if a project slips. Allow Xcel's $20M in site studies under HB26-1337 to proceed on the fastest possible timeline.
  3. Adopt Data Center Ratepayer Protections Now
    Create a separate rate class with "bring/build/buy your own power" requirements so growth doesn't land on household bills. This is how Colorado attracts data centers without the backlash that led 5 Colorado jurisdictions to enact moratoriums. Microsoft, Anthropic, and others have signed ratepayer-protection pledges, codify these as policy.
  4. Tie Coal Retirement to Nuclear Replacement, Close the Gap
    For communities like Craig, the best transition plan is no gap at all. Delay coal plant closure until the replacement nuclear facility is operational, with an intentional overlap period so workers transfer directly. This is already happening reactively, DOE emergency orders, Xcel extension proposals, SB 26-182 for Nixon. Make it proactive policy: tie retirement milestones to nuclear commissioning dates, keep the tax base intact during construction, and give workers a direct bridge instead of a decade in limbo. Where coal-to-nuclear timing doesn't align, expand Just Transition support as the interim bridge.
The bottom line

Done right, this isn't a giveaway to industry. It's how Colorado keeps its employers, protects its ratepayers, saves its coal towns, and stays true to its own clean-energy commitments, while claiming a durable identity as the national leader in energy, data, and AI. The states that can deliver abundant, reliable, clean electricity will attract the next generation of employers. We can be that state.

Dr. Seth Harvey
Dr. Seth Harvey
Tech Entrepreneur • Bluestaq Founder

Tech Entrepreneur

✉ seth.harvey@bluestaq.com